14th Annual

European Pulp and Paper Outlook Conference

March 5-7, 2012 | Amsterdam, Netherlands

2012 RISI Pulp & Paper Outlook Conference

2011 Program

TUESDAY, MARCH 15

  • 18.30 – 20.00

    Pre-Registration (Atrium Foyer)

    Please pick up badge and conference materials before going to the reception.


    Cocktail Reception (Atrium Foyer)

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 16


  • 7.45 – 9.00

    Registration (Outside Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

  • 9.00

    Start of Conference (Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

  • 9.00 – 9.05

    Welcoming Remarks


    ~ Conference Chair: Mark Rushton, Editor, PPI Magazine and RISI website

  • 9.05 – 9.10

    Introduction to RISI


    ~ Mike Coffey, CEO, RISI

  • 9.10 – 9.15

    Presentation of the RISI European CEO of the Year Award to Jussi Pesonen of UPM

    Accepted by Hans Sohlström, Executive VP, Corporate Relations and Development of UPM on Mr. Pesonen's behalf.


    ~ Presented by: Mike Coffey, CEO, RISI

  • 9.15 – 9.40

    KEYNOTE ADDRESS: The New Bioforest Industry

    • Vision on how the forest industry is developing in the future

    ~ Hans Sohlström, Executive VP, Corporate Relations and Development, UPM

  • 9.40 – 9.45

    Keynote Questions & Answers

Session I

Chairperson: Mark Rushton, Editor, PPI Magazine and RISI website


  • 9.45 – 10.05

    Japanese Earthquake & Tsunami: Update on Forest Products Sector

     

  • 10.05 – 10.30

    Financing Practices in the Pulp and Paper Industry

    • Understanding the requirements for successfully financing new projects in the industry.
    • Identifying the financing options open to industry players.
    • Discussing viable strategies for surviving and maximizing profitability opportunities.

    ~ Matthew Smith, Director, Metals & Paper – MFF1, Commodity Finance, Financing & Advisory, UniCredit Bank AG

  • 10.30 – 10.55

    Managing Commodity Cycles in Paper and Pulp

    • Evaluating the increasing exposure of paper and pulp companies to stronger and more volatile cyclical price and margin environments, which the leading cause of value erosion within enterprises.
    • Examining what recent research is revealing about conventional approaches to cyclicality – are these approaches accelerating value erosion?
    • How does a new look at winners across similar commodity industries offer participants the opportunity to maximize value creation across commodity cycles?

    ~ Saikat Dey, Management Consultant, McKinsey

  • 10.55 – 11.00

    Questions & Answers

  • 11.00 – 11.15

    Coffee Break (Outside Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

Session II

Chairperson: Steve Sachoff, Editor, PPI Europe, RISI


  • 11.15 – 11.40

    Growth Opportunities for International Companies in the Emerging Markets

    • Comparing business prospects in the emerging regions such as Asia and Eastern Europe with the potential regulatory and competitive challenges.
    • Assessing the infrastructures and capacities of the region – is the rapid growth sustainable?

    ~ Phillip Lawrence, Managing Director, Eco Logical Strategies

  • 11.40 – 12.05

    Communicating Sustainability: Dissipating Misconceptions and Improving the Pulp and Paper Industry Brand

    • Facing the industry's lack of sustainability common misapprehensions present in the general public.
    • Evaluating the initiatives in place and recognising the common actions needed from all actors across the industry.
    • Ensuring the best practices and plans to bridge the gap between the actual sustainable capacities of the market and the misleading images that paper is environmentally adverse.

    ~ Phil Riebel, President, P. Riebel Consulting

  • 12.05 – 12.30

    The Pulp and Paper Sector in the Bio-based Economy

    • Examining the latest policies and targets imposed by the European regulatory bodies.
    • Assessing the large investments needed and the credit options and obstacles.
    • Tracing the best ways and technologies for converting to these renewable energies.

    ~ Marco Mensink, Energy and Environment Director, CEPI

  • 12.30 – 12.40

    Questions & Answers

  • 12.40 – 14.00

    Networking Lunch (Silk Road Restaurant, 2nd Floor)

Session III

Chairperson: Irina Van den Neste, News Editor, PPI Europe, RISI


  • 14.00 – 14.25

    Electronic or Print Media? The Future has Space for Both

    • Accepting change and forecasting the transitions to place in the media to long term.
    • Taking a closer look at the sectors which will move the industry forward and drafting cooperative plans encompassing all key players.
    • Adopting new business models matching the market's and consumers' expectations and trends.

    ~ Adrian Barrick, CEO, UBM Built Environment

  • 14.25 – 14.50

    The Search for the Position in the Digital Value Chain, Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2010 – 2014

    • Understanding the range and dominant presence of new media in present and future generations.
    • Improving the comprehension of changing consumers habits and capitalizing on this strategic knowledge.
    • Acknowledging the importance of paper in society and learning to capitalize the available resources to expand business.

    ~ Drs. Marieke van der Donk, Principal Manager, PriceWaterhouseCoopers

  • 14.50 – 15.15

    Paper Based Packaging: Specification and Sourcing

    • Recognising the economic trends of the market and the consequences for the paper packaging industry – paper vs. plastic?
    • Focusing on the production cycle and indentifying innovative sustainable processes.
    • Identifying consumers expectations and their increasing demand for eco-friendly packages.

    ~ Duncan Pollard, Sustainability Advisor, Nestlé

  • 15.15 – 15.40

    Paper Recycling Trade: The Dangers of a Demand-Supply Crunch

    • Considering the changing business landscape: the sky-rocket demand for waste paper in China and Europe's market exporting capacities.
    • Reviewing what the outcome of the economic downturn and the expectations for the future are.
    • Evaluating the alternatives and the recycling capabilities of Europe.

    ~ Ranjit Singh Baxi, Founder & Chairman, J and H Sales (International) Ltd.

  • 15.40 – 15.55

    Questions & Answers

  • 15.55 – 16.15

    Coffee Break (Outside Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

Session IV

Moderator: Joachim Klein, Founder / Managing Director, StepChange Consulting


  • 16.15 – 17.30

    CEO / Executive Panel: A Roundtable Discussion with the Region's Leading Executives


    ~ Berry Wiersum, CEO, Sappi Fine Paper Europe
    ~ John D. Williams, President and CEO, Domtar
    ~ Hans Sohlström, Executive VP, Corporate Relations and Development, UPM
    ~ Stefano Rossi, Vice President & Managing Director Containerboard, SCA Packaging Europe
    ~ Ignacio de Colmenares, CEO, Ence
    ~ Alain Baudant, CEO, Smurfit Kappa Paper Division

  • 18.00 – 20.00

    Cocktail Reception on the OCEANDIVA CLASSIC

    This heated boat is scheduled to sail between 18.30 and 19.30 and will be docked for the remainder of the time. Please meet behind the Mövenpick Hotel at 18.00 to join this excellent networking opportunity!


    OCEANDIVA CLASSIC


THURSDAY, MARCH 17
RISI TWO-YEAR OUTLOOKS FOR EUROPEAN AND GLOBAL MARKETS

Chairperson: Ken Waghorne, Vice President, Packaging, RISI


  • 9.00

    Start of Conference (Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

  • 9.00 – 9.40

    The Global Economy: A Three Track Recovery

    • Though risks of a double-dip recession have receded, new risks have emerged
    • US growth accelerating, while other mature economies continue to struggle
    • Emerging economies leading the global recovery

    ~ David Katsnelson, Senior Economist, Macroeconomics, RISI

  • 9.40 – 10.10

    Forecast of International Trade in Woodchips and Biomass Fiber

    • Outlook for the Pacific Woodchip Trade: Oversupply from Southeast Asia and Australian plantations
    • Overseas woodchip suppliers to Europe: Impact of new pulp mill development in Latin America
    • Wood pellet and biomass chip suppliers: how the sourcing patterns are likely to change as European demand increases

    ~ Bob Flynn, Director, International Timber, RISI

  • 10.10 – 10.40

    Global Recovered Paper Market Outlook

    • Where will the domestic demand in Europe be in the next two years?
    • How massive will Asian demand be? What does this mean to Asian import?
    • How high is the world recovery rate already? And how much further can it go?

    ~ Hannah Zhao, Economist, Recovered Paper, RISI

  • 10.40 – 10.45

    Questions & Answers

  • 10.45 – 11.05

    Coffee Break (Outside Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

  • 11.15 – 11.35

    Benchmarking: It Seems Inevitable that some European Machines/Mills will Face Closure

    • What are the key drivers behind cost competitiveness?
    • What kind of criteria can be used to analyze risk of closure?
    • What type of machines/mills are most likely to close on a permanent basis?
    • What can be learned from the previous cases?

    ~ Ville Henttonen Product Manager, Cost Benchmarking, RISI

  • 11.35 – 12.05

    Outlook for the World Pulp Market: How Can Chinese Demand be Filled?

    • Chinese Wood Pulp Demand Headed Upward Over Next Two Years
    • How Much of This Demand Can be Filled by Domestic Production?
    • Next Wave of Latin American Tonnage Still Nearly Two Years Away
    • Will North American Integrated Capacity be Converted to Market Pulp?

    ~ Rod Young, Chief Economic Advisor, RISI

  • 12.05 – 12.35

    Global Tissue Market Outlook

    • How is demand outlook after survived recession?
    • Will private labels continue to their triumph or will brands see a renaissance?
    • Slowing demand growth and picking up investment activity -- threat for overcapacity again?

    ~ Esko Uutela, Principal, Tissue, RISI

  • 12.35 – 12.40

    Questions & Answers

  • 12.40 – 14.15

    Breakout Lunch: Analyzing the Impact of Key Cost Drivers on Mill Cost Competitiveness

    The cost competitiveness of global pulp and paper mills is dependent on a multitude of factors, including such key cost drivers as exchange rates, materials prices and energy prices. We'll analyze these cost drivers, as well as the relationship between capital cost and cash cost, in this special breakout lunch presentation. You'll learn how to use RISI's new cost benchmarking tool, Analytical Cornerstone 4.0, to better understand the current state of the pulp and paper industry as well as how projected market conditions could impact the industry.


    ~ Jukka Kuntonen, Benchmarking Analyst, RISI
    ~ Timo Ahonen, Benchmarking Analyst, RISI
    ~ Matt Graves, Senior Vice President, Pulp & Paper Division, RISI


  • 12.40 – 14.15

    Networking Lunch (Silk Road Restaurant, 2nd Floor)

  • 14.15 – 15.25

    European Graphic Paper Outlook

    • Will rapid recovery of newsprint prices eat demand?
    • Implications of consolidation in magazine papers (Upm + Myllykoski?).
    • How much will new capacity expansions in China and Russia eat exports from western Europe?
    • Estimating the implications of rapid penetration of e-readers and tablet pc's to european paper demand.


    ~ Sampo Timonen, Director, European Graphic Papers, RISI

  • 15.25 – 15.35

    Questions & Answers

  • 15.35 – 15.55

    Coffee Break (Outside Matterhorn Room, 1st Floor)

  • 15.55 – 16.25

    European Cartonboard Market Outlook

    • How balanced the European cartonboard market will be over the next two years?
    • Will new Asian cartonboard capacity threat the European suppliers in their domestic and exports markets?

    ~ Orifjon Abidov, Economist, European Paper Packaging, RISI

  • 16.25 – 16.55

    Global Containerboard Market Outlook

    • How is the strong recovery in the Asian market going to affect European producers?
    • What sort of recovery in demand is expected in Europe?
    • Will North American tonnage continue to flood into the European market?
    • What are the prospects for exports of European containerboard to the rest of the world?

    ~ Ken Waghorne, Vice President, Packaging, RISI

  • 16.55 – 17.05

    Questions & Answers

  • 17.05

    Close of Conference