North American Bioenergy Forecast - 5-Year
UPDATED: New Bioenergy Forecast series provides two 5-year outlooks on North America's growing bioenergy industry.
RISI's North American Bioenergy 5-Year Forecast provides both a current and forecasted analysis of structural developments in the biopower, wood pellet and cellulosic biofuel industries in the United States and Canada.
Bioenergy industry capacity is expected to more than double by 2017, creating tremendous demand growth for wood biomass and intensifying competition for fiber. From the perspective of traditional end users of wood fiber, the growth of the bioenergy sector will change the playing field for wood biomass supply. For producers of pellets, power and biofuel, access to a competitively priced and secure fiber supply is critical for success.
The forecast analyzes these dynamics to provide insight into the North American regional fiber supply and demand characteristics. It describes the competitive environment and the relative wood biomass availability which will ultimately impact the industry's growth.
Wood Fiber Consumption by Bioenergy Market - (2007-2017) - North America
Focus on Wood Pellets
The first edition of RISI's North American Bioenergy 5-year Forecast will include a detailed and granular analysis of wood pellet prices, costs and profitability. This analysis includes regional average variable and fixed costs, transportation costs, pellet prices and industry profitability for both residential and industrial export pellet producers.
In future editions, the forecast series will review the impact of increasing international trade and export demand for pellets will significantly impact North America.
Analysis of each major forest product sector's ability to pay for fiber
Organizations within the bioenergy industry must compete not only amongst themselves but also against traditional forest products industries for a limited wood biomass resource. It is critical to understand this relationship in conjunction with technology/process costs and market development in order to gain perspective on projected industry development and investment. RISI's North American Bioenergy 5-year Forecast quantifies this by introducing the concept of fiber-paying capability (FPC) as a measure of industry competitiveness. The FPC analysis models the various cost and revenue components of these industries (bioenergy and forest products), including special regulatory incentives currently available to renewable energy producers.
(OSB - Oriented Strand Board; BSKP - Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp)
The forecast Includes:
Table of Contents
Policy Update - Summary of relevant policy changes
Industry Structure and Outlook
Fiber Paying Capability
Fiber Supply and Demand
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